The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process

With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave".Content

• The "infection curve" I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb - density function
• Representation of a process management

• Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technologyTarget Groups

• Virology, Departments of Health and Human Services
• Statistics DepartmentsThe AuthorMarcus Hellwig is a quality manager as qualified by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of specialist books.

Auteur

Marcus Hellwig is a quality manager as qualified by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of specialist books.