Informationen zum Autor ALAN THOMAS ROPER (retired) was a professor at Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology in Terre Haute, Indiana. He is the past editor of the journal Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal and the past director of the Center for Technology and Policy Studies at Rose-Hulman. SCOTT W. CUNNINGHAM obtained a MSc in public policy from the Georgia Institute of Technology and a DPhil in science, technology, and innovation policy from the University of Sussex. He is currently Assistant Professor of Policy Analysis in the Department of Technology, Policy, and Management at Delft University of Technology. ALAN L. PORTER has led development of "technology opportunity analysis" and mining electronic, bibliographic data sources to generate intelligence on emerging technologies. He holds an MA in psychology and a PhD in engineering psychology, both from UCLA. He is currently Director of Research and Development for Search Technology, Inc., in Norcross, Georgia. THOMAS W. MASON was the founding head of the Engineering Management Department (www.rose-hulman.edu/msem). While on a three-year leave from Rose-Hulman, he served as CFO and CEO of a 140-person network management systems business. FREDERICK A. ROSSINI (retired) is a former provost at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia. JERRY BANKS is Professor Emeritus, Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta, Georgia. Klappentext Published in 1991, the first edition of Forecasting and Management of Technology was one of the leading handful of books to deal with the topic of forecasting of technology and technology management as this discipline was emerging. The new, revised edition of this book will build on this knowledge in the context of business organizations that now place a greater emphasis on technology to stay on the cutting edge of development. The scope of this edition has broadened to include management of technology content that is relevant to now to executives in organizations while updating and strengthening the technology forecasting and analysis content that the first edition is reputed for.Updated by the original author team, plus new author Scott Cunningham, the book takes into account what the authors see as the innovations to technology management in the last 17 years: the Internet; the greater focus on group decision-making including process management and mechanism design; and desktop software that has transformed the analytical capabilities of technology managers. Included in this book will be 5 case studies from various industries that show how technology management is applied in the real world. Zusammenfassung Published in 1991, the first edition of Forecasting and Management of Technology was one of the leading handful of books to deal with the topic of forecasting of technology and technology management as this discipline was emerging. The new, revised edition of this book will build on this knowledge in the context of business organizations that now place a greater emphasis on technology to stay on the cutting edge of development. The scope of this edition has broadened to include management of technology content that is relevant to now to executives in organizations while updating and strengthening the technology forecasting and analysis content that the first edition is reputed for.Updated by the original author team, plus new author Scott Cunningham, the book takes into account what the authors see as the innovations to technology management in the last 17 years: the Internet; the greater focus on group decision-making including process management and mechanism design; and desktop software that has transformed the analytical capabilities of technology managers. Included in this book will be 5 case studies from various industries that show how technology management is applied in...

Autorentext
ALAN THOMAS ROPER (retired) was a professor at Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology in Terre Haute, Indiana. He is the past editor of the journal Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal and the past director of the Center for Technology and Policy Studies at Rose-Hulman. SCOTT W. CUNNINGHAM obtained a MSc in public policy from the Georgia Institute of Technology and a DPhil in science, technology, and innovation policy from the University of Sussex. He is currently Assistant Professor of Policy Analysis in the Department of Technology, Policy, and Management at Delft University of Technology. ALAN L. PORTER has led development of "technology opportunity analysis" and mining electronic, bibliographic data sources to generate intelligence on emerging technologies. He holds an MA in psychology and a PhD in engineering psychology, both from UCLA. He is currently Director of Research and Development for Search Technology, Inc., in Norcross, Georgia. THOMAS W. MASON was the founding head of the Engineering Management Department (www.rose-hulman.edu/msem). While on a three-year leave from Rose-Hulman, he served as CFO and CEO of a 140-person network management systems business. FREDERICK A. ROSSINI (retired) is a former provost at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia. JERRY BANKS is Professor Emeritus, Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta, Georgia.

Klappentext

Published in 1991, the first edition of Forecasting and Management of Technology was one of the leading handful of books to deal with the topic of forecasting of technology and technology management as this discipline was emerging. The new, revised edition of this book will build on this knowledge in the context of business organizations that now place a greater emphasis on technology to stay on the cutting edge of development. The scope of this edition has broadened to include management of technology content that is relevant to now to executives in organizations while updating and strengthening the technology forecasting and analysis content that the first edition is reputed for. Updated by the original author team, plus new author Scott Cunningham, the book takes into account what the authors see as the innovations to technology management in the last 17 years: the Internet; the greater focus on group decision-making including process management and mechanism design; and desktop software that has transformed the analytical capabilities of technology managers. Included in this book will be 5 case studies from various industries that show how technology management is applied in the real world.

Inhalt

Acknowledgments xv 1 Introduction 1 1.1 About This Book, 1 1.2 Technology and Society, 2 1.2.1 Social Change, 3 1.2.2 Technological Change, 4 1.3 Management and the Future, 6 1.3.1 Management and Innovation Processes, 7 1.3.2 The Role of Technology Forecasting, 9 1.3.3 The Importance of Technology Forecasting, 10 1.3.4 The Role of Social Forecasting, 12 1.4 Conclusions, 13 References, 13 2 Technology Forecasting 15 2.1 What Is Technology Forecasting?, 15 2.1.1 Models of Technology Growth and Diffusion, 17 2.1.2 Technology Forecasting in Context, 18 2.1.3 What Makes a Forecast Good?, 20 2.1.4 Common Errors in Forecasting Technology, 21 2.2 Methodological Foundations, 23 2.2.1 The Technology Delivery System, 24 2.2.2 Inquiring Systems, 28 2.3 Technology Forecasting Methods, 31 2.3.1 Overview of the Most Frequently Used Forecasting Methods, 33 2.3.2 Method Selection, 37 2.4 Conclusion, 37 References, 38 3 Managing the Forecasting Project 40 3.1 Information Needs of the Forecasting Project, 40 3.1.1 The Technology Manager's Needs, 42 3.1.2 The Forecast Manager's Needs, 43 3.1.3 Information about Team Members, 44 3.2 Planning the Technology Forecast, 46 3.3 Team Organization, Management, and Communications, 47 3.3.1 Organizing and Managing the Technology Forecast, 50 3.3.2 Communications, 54 3.3.3 Summary Conclusions about Project Management and Organization, 55 3.4 Success: The…