Transportation and Traffic Theory 2009: Golden Jubilee

Transportation and Traffic Theory 2009 Golden Jubilee

Papers selected for presentation at ISTTT18, a peer reviewed series since 1959

edited by William H.K. Lam, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, S.C. Wong, The University of Hong Kong and Hong K. Lo, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

The series of International Symposia on Transportation and Traffic Theory (ISTTT) is the main gathering for the world's transportation and traffic theorists, and those who are interested in contributing to or gaining a deeper understanding of traffic and transportation phenomena in order to better plan, design and manage the transportation system. Although it embraces a wide range of topics, from traffic flow theories and demand modeling to road safety and logistics and supply chain modeling, the ISTTT is hallmarked by its intellectual innovation, research and development excellence in the treatment of real-world transportation and traffic problems. The ISTTT prides itself in the extremely high quality of its proceedings. Previous ISTTT conferences were held in Warren, Michigan (1959), London (1963), New York (1965), Karlsruhe (1968), Berkeley, California (1971), Sydney (1974), Kyoto (1977), Toronto (1981), Delft (1984), Cambridge, Massachusetts (1987), Yokohama (1990), Berkeley, California (1993), Lyon (1996), Jerusalem (1999), Adelaide (2002), College Park, Maryland (2005), and London (2007). It is timely to organize the 18th ISTTT in Hong Kong, as the thrust of transportation infrastructure development has emerged strongly in Asia. The 18th ISTTT celebrates the 50th Anniversary of this premier conference series.

This volume contains 35 chapters selected for presentation at the 18th ISTTT from 230 extended abstracts and subsequently 108 invited full paper submissions, following a rigorous two-tier peer review process. Theyaddress a wide range of topics covering both scientific and operational aspects of transportation and traffic, spanning all modes of transport, including freight as well as private and public transport.

Résumé
th It is our great privilege and honor to present the proceedings of the 18 International Symposium on Transportation and Traffic Theory (ISTTT), held at The Hong Kong Polytechnic University in Hong Kong, China on 16-18 July 2009. th The 18 ISTTT is jointly organized by the Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies and Department of Civil and Structural Engineering of The Hong Kong Polytechnic University. The ISTTT series is the main gathering for the world's transportation and traffic theorists, and those who are interested in contributing to or gaining a deep understanding of traffic and transportation phenomena in order to better plan, design and manage the transportation system. Although it embraces a wide range of topics, from traffic flow theories and demand modeling to road safety and logistics and supply chain modeling, the ISTTT is hallmarked by its intellectual innovation, research and development excellence in the treatment of real-world transportation and traffic problems. The ISTTT prides itself in the extremely high quality of its proceedings. Previous ISTTT conferences were held in Warren, Michigan (1959), London (1963), New York (1965), Karlsruhe (1968), Berkeley, California (1971), Sydney (1974), Kyoto (1977), Toronto (1981), Delft (1984), Cambridge, Massachusetts (1987), Yokohama (1990), Berkeley, California (1993), Lyon (1996), Jerusalem (1999), Adelaide (2002), College Park, Maryland (2005), and London (2007). th th This 18 ISTTT celebrates the 50 Anniversary of this premier conference series.

Contenu
A Game Theoretic Approach to the Determination of Hyperpaths in Transportation Networks.- Network Equilibrium under Cumulative Prospect Theory and Endogenous Stochastic Demand and Supply.- Estimation of Parameters of Network Equilibrium Models: A Maximum Likelihood Method and Statistical Properties of Network Flow.- Spatiotemporal Effects of Segregating Different Vehicle Classes on Separate Lanes.- Microscopic Traffic Behaviour near Incidents.- Understanding Stop-and-go Traffic in View of Asymmetric Traffic Theory.- A Stochastic #x03B1;-reliable Mean-excess Traffic Equilibrium Model with Probabilistic Travel Times and Perception Errors.- Equilibrium Trip Scheduling in Congested Traffic under Uncertainty.- Reliable a Priori Shortest Path Problem with Limited Spatial and Temporal Dependencies.- Risk Averse Second Best Toll Pricing.- Cordon Pricing Consistent with the Physics of Overcrowding.- Build-operate-transfer Schemes for Road Franchising with Road Deterioration and Maintenance Effects.- Equilibria and Inefficiency in Traffic Networks with Stochastic Capacity and Information Provision.- An Active-set Algorithm for Discrete Network Design Problems.- Multi-class Multi-modal Network Equilibrium with Regular Choice Behaviors: A General Fixed Point Approach.- Existence of Equilibrium in a Continuous Dynamic Queueing Model for Traffic Networks with Responsive Signal Control.- Harmonic Analysis and Optimization of Traffic Signal Systems.- A Two-direction Method of Solving Variable Demand Equilibrium Models with and without Signal Control.- Modeling Learning Impacts on Day-to-day Travel Choice.- A Probit-based Joint Discrete-continuous Model System: Analyzing the Relationship between Timing and Duration of Maintenance Activities.- Bayesian Learning, Day-to-day Adjustment Process, and Stability of Wardrop Equilibrium.- Hotspot Identification: A Full Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling Approach.- The Continuous Risk Profile Approach for the Identification of High Collision Concentration Locations on Congested Highways.- Driver Behavior, Dilemma Zone, and Capacity at Red Light Camera Equipped Intersections.- Optimization of a Bus and Rail Transit System with Feeder Bus Services under Different Market Regimes.- Modelling Dynamic Generation of a Choice Set in Pedestrian Networks.- A Common Modeling Framework for Dynamic Traffic Assignment and Supply Chain Management Systems with Congestion Phenomena.- A Pedestrian Model Considering Anticipatory Behaviour for Capacity Evaluation.- A Comparative Assessment of Stochastic Capacity Estimation Methods.- Supply-demand Diagrams and a New Framework for Analyzing the Inhomogeneous Lighthill-Whitham-Richards Model.- Network Evaluation Based on Connectivity Vulnerability.- Reliability-based Dynamic Discrete Network Design with Stochastic Networks.- Flow Breakdown, Travel Reliability and Real-time Information in Route Choice Behavior.- Optimal Sensor Placement for Freeway Travel Time Estimation.- Updating Dynamic Origin-destination Matrices using Observed Link Travel Speed by Probe Vehicles.