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This book reviews the latest econophysics researches on the fluctuations in stock, forex and other markets. The statistical modeling of markets, using various agent-based game theoretical approaches, and their scaling analysis have been discussed.
The leading researchers in these fields have reported on their recent work and also reviewed the contemporary literature. Some historical perspectives as well as some comments and debates on recent issues in econophysics research have also been included.
Résumé
Successful or not, we all (have to?) go to various markets and participate in their activities. Yet, solittle is understoodabout their functionings. E orts to model various markets are now substantial. Econophysicists have also come up recently with several innovative models and their analyses. This book is a proceedings of the International Workshop on Eco- physics of StockMarkets and Minority Games',heldinKolkataduringFeb- ary 14-17, 2006, under the auspices of the Centre for Applied Mathem- ics and Computational Science, Saha Institute of Nuclear Physics, Kolkata. This is the second event in the Econophys-Kolkata series of meetings; the Econophys-Kolkata I was held in March 2005 (Proceedings: Econophysics of Wealth Distributions, published in the same New Economic Windows series by Springer, Milan in 2005). We understand from the enthusiastic response of the participants that the one-day trip to the Sunderbans (Tiger Reserve; a world heritage point) along with the lecture-sessions on the vessel had been hugely enjoyable and successful. The concluding session had again very lively discussions on the workshop topics as well as on econophysics in general, i- tiated by J. Barkley Rosser, Matteo Marsili, Rosario Mantegna and Robin Stinchcombe (Chair). We plan to hold the next meeting in this series, on Econophysics and Sociophysics: Debates on Complexity Issues in Economics and Sociology' early next year. We are very happy that several leading economists and physicists engaged intheserecentdevelopmentsintheeconophysicsofmarkets,theiranalysisand modellingcouldcomeandparticipate.
Contenu
Markets and their Analysis.- On Stock-Price Fluctuations in the Periods of Booms and Stagnations.- An Outlook on Correlations in Stock Prices.- The Power (Law) of Indian Markets: Analysing NSE and BSE Trading Statistics.- A Random Matrix Approach To Volatility In An Indian Financial Market.- Why do Hurst Exponents of Traded Value Increase as the Logarithm of Company Size?.- Statistical Distribution of Stock Returns Runs.- Fluctuation Dynamics of Exchange Rates on Indian Financial Market.- Noise Trading in an Emerging Market: Evidence and Analysis.- How Random is the Walk: Efficiency of Indian Stock and Futures Markets.- Markets and their Models.- Models of Financial Market Information Ecology.- Estimating Phenomenological Parameters in Multi-Assets Markets.- Agents Play Mix-game.- Triangular Arbitrage as an Interaction in Foreign Exchange Markets.- Modelling Limit Order Financial Markets.- Two Fractal Overlap Time Series and Anticipation of Market Crashes.- The Apparent Madness of Crowds: Irrational Collective Behavior Emerging from Interactions among Rational Agents.- Agent-Based Modelling with Wavelets and an Evolutionary Artificial Neural Network: Applications to CAC 40 Forecasting.- Information Extraction in Scheduling Problems with Non-Identical Machines.- Modelling Financial Time Series.- Random Matrix Approach to Fluctuations and Scaling in Complex Systems.- The Economic Efficiency of Financial Markets.- Regional Inequality.- Historical Notes.- A Brief History of Economics: An Outsider's Account.- The Nature and Future of Econophysics.- Comments and Discussions.- Econophys-Kolkata II Workshop Summary.- Econophysics: Some Thoughts on Theoretical Perspectives.- Comments on Worrying Trends in Econophysics: Income Distribution Models.