Experimental Social Programs and Analytic Methods

Experimental Social Programs and Analytic Methods: An Evaluation of the U.S. Income Maintenance Projects examines the statistical and econometric research on work disincentive effects reported by a series of social experiments that explore the economic and social consequences of a guaranteed income program.
This book provides a comparative description of the several experimental designs and labor supply results, including a general discussion of methodological issues common to the social experiments. The Conlisk-Watts model for sample assignment and labor supply findings from both an econometric and statistical perspective are also elaborated. This text likewise presents an updated survey of the work response findings from the American negative income tax experiments.
This publication is intended for professionals and students in econometrics, labor economics, statistics, and quantitative research, but is also valuable to policy analysts and others concerned with social welfare reform and public administration.

Contenu

Preface

1. Poverty and Experiments-The Background
   I. Introduction
   II. Work Incentives, Cost, and Experimentation
   III. Historical Origins of the American Experiments
   IV. The Effect of NIT on Work Response: A Brief Statement of the Theory
2. Overview of Initial Work Response Finding
   I. Introduction
   II. The Design of the Negative Income Tax Experiments
   III. Income and Work Response: Initial Findings
3. The Sample Design and Assignment Model of the Guaranteed Income Experiments
   I. Introduction
   II. The Conlisk-Watts Assignment Model: Description from an Estimation Perspective
   III. The Conlisk-Watts Model: A Critique from an Experimental Design Perspective
   IV. The Conlisk-Watts Model and Negative Tax Experiments: A Final Comment
   4 . Methodological Issues and Experimental Data
   I. Introduction
   II. Choice and Definition of Variables
   III. Sample-Population Inference: Nonrandomness of Experimental Samples
   IV. Modeling Structural Change: Polynomial Spline Functions
   V. Elasticity Estimation and First Differences
   VI. Components of Variance and Covariance
   VII. Conclusion
   5 . The New Jersey Graduated Work Incentive Experiment
   I. Introduction
   II. Models and Results of the New (ersey Final Report
   III. Specific Findings and Models of the New Jersey Final Report
   IV. The "Postofficiar Analysis"
4. The Rural Income Maintenance Experiment
   I. Introduction
   II. Sample Composition and Allocation
   III. Income and Work Response of Farm Families
   IV. Income and Work Response of Nonfarm Families
5. The Seattle-Denver Income Maintenance Experiment (SIME-DIME)
   I. Introduction
   II. The Keeley-Robins-Spiegelman-West Model and the Results
   III. Appraisal of the Results
   IV. Conclusions
6. The Gary Income Maintenance Experiment
   I. Introduction
   II. Labor Supply Response
   III. Findings of the Gary Experiment
7. Conclusions
   References
   Index