The Atlas of Climate Change: Based on SEAP-CMIP5

Using state-of-the-art earth system models, this atlas focuses on both historic climate system change from the year 1850 and the projection of future climate system change to the year 2100 using the RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios based on climate models.

"The Atlas of Climate ChangeBased on SEAP-CMIP5" is intended to satisfy readers' curiosity: how will our climate system change over the next 100 years? It is the first showcase for the state-of -the-art earth system models that released their CMIP5 simulations for the IPCC AR5.The atlas focuses on both the past climate system change from 1850 and the projection of the future climate system change to 2100 using the RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios based on climate models. This provides the research and application community interested in the impact of climate change on fields such as agriculture, ecosystem, environment,water resources, energy, health, economy, risk governance and international negotiation, etc. with the newest climate change projection information. Additionally, the atlas will show the historical responsibility of the developed/developing countries and possible contributions to the mitigation of climate change according to their pledge of GHG emission reduction after the Cancun Agreement as an extension numerical experiment to CMIP5 with NCAR's CESM1.0. The authors will update this atlas after future releases of CMIP5 model outputs and update the figures in the second edition of the atlas in 2012-2013.

Both Prof. Wenjie Dong and Yan Guo work at the Beijing Normal University, China. Prof. Fumin Ren works at the China Meteorological Administration, China. Prof. Jianbin Huang works at the Tsinghua University, China.

Outputs from the latest generation of earth system model from world class model development groups for IPCC AR5 Describes quantitatively state historical responsibility for global warming Demonstrates how the Earth's climate system will change from today up to 2100 Describes how much climate change we may avoid if we take action according to Cancun Pledge

Auteur

Wenjie Dong: Professor of Beijing Normal University. His research interests include: Climate Dynamics, Climate modeling and integrated analysis. Currently he is the executive dean of the college of global change and earth system science which was established earliest in China. He is the PI of the project titled Super-Ensemble Projection and Attribution of Climate Change Based on CMIP5 funded by CMOST. He is also one of the lead authors of IPCC AR5 WGI and Climate Synthesis Report for Asia-Pacific Network for global change research (APN), as well as the vice edit-in-chief of Chinese assessment report of climate and environment change named Climate and Environment Change in China:2012. He was the member of the steering scientific group of CLIVAR/WCRP, chair of OPG4 of WMO Commission for Climatology. He was the youngest deputy director-general of Lanzhou Institute of Plateau Atmospheric Physics and Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and the director-general of National Climate Center of China. He won the special contribution expert grant from the State Council of China in 1999. He has jointly published more than 120 papers and 2 books. He is so dedicated to climate change science and its application that his favorite slogan is 'keep a weather eye on climate and global change'.

Fumin Ren: A chief expert at the National Climate Center of China. His research interests include: Climate extremes, Tropical cyclones and Climate diagnostics. Currently he serves as the Lead of the Task Team on Definitions of Extreme Weather and Climate Events within the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Commission for Climatology (CCl), a member of the Climate Change and Low Carbon Development Committee, and a Vice Chairman of the Tropical and Marine Meteorology Committee of the Chinese Meteorological Society. In 2000, he was honored an Outstanding Youth of China's Central Government Agencies. He has jointly published about 50 papersand 2 books.

Jianbin Huang: Assistant Professor of Tsinghua University. His research interests include: Paleoclimate, Global and regional climate modeling. Currently, he is a faculty in the Center for Earth System Science/Institute for Global Change Studies, which was reestablished in 2009 as a discipline of earth science in Tsinghua University. He has jointly published more than 15 papers and 2 books.

Yan Guo: Lecturer of Beijing Normal University. Her research interests include: Climate prediction, Climate change projection and attribution. She has published 5 papers.

Contenu
Data and Methodology.- Climate change simulation and projection based on CMIP5.- Attribution of responsibility for climate change from developed/developing countries.