The Space Transportation Market: Evolution or Revolution?

M. Rycroft, FacultyMember, InternationalSpaceUniversity e-mail:Rycroft@isu.isunet.edu "The Space Transportation Market: Evolution or Revolution?" was the question which was the focus for the papers presented, and also the Panel Discussions, at the fifth annual Symposium organised by the International Space University. Held in Strasbourg, France, for three lively days at the end of May 2000, the Symposium brought together representatives of the developers, providers and operators of space transportation systems, of regulatory bodies, and of users of the space transportation infrastructure in many fields, as well as experts in policy and market analysis. From the papers published here, it is clear that today's answer to the question tends more towards evolution than to revolution. The space launch industry is still not a fully mature one, and is still reliant on at least partial funding by governments. Better cooperation is essential between governments, launch providers, satellite builders and satellite operators in order to reduce the problems which the space transportation market faces today.

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The question of the Symposium's title The Space Transportation Market: Evolution or Revolution? is answered from different viewpoints - the users, the launch service providers, the engineers, the lawyers, and various governmental organisations. In the future, the space transportation industry must provide several different cost-effective means for easy and rapid access to space in order to satisfy the demands of many different customers. This book is invaluable for all involved with rockets and space launchers, whether in industry, government, or academia.

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Keynote Address Socio-Economic Considerations of Future Space Transportation Systems.- Commercial Space Transportation: Recent Trends and Projections for 20002010.- Future Market for Space Transportation EUTELSATs Perspectives.- The Coming Commercial Passenger Space Transportation Market.- Business Opportunities for Space Transportation Companies in the Evolution of a Global Society.- Report on Panel Discussion 1 What will Constitute the Future Market for Space Transportation Services? Users' Perspectives.- Lockheed Martin Space Operations: Teaming and Outsourcing to Meet the Needs of Future Markets.- Long March Launch Vehicles Responsive to both Domestic and International Market.- The Future is Not Like the Past, or How the Cost of Access to Space may Change the Market.- STARSEM: A Euro-Russian Venture for Space Transportation.- The Rockot Launch System.- Ariane 5 Evolutions: Fitting the Market Needs.- Potential of the Market for Space Technologies, Goods and Services in the 21st Century: A View of Russian Business.- Report on Panel Discussion 2 Meeting the Needs of Future Markets Launch Service Providers' Perspectives.- Reusables vs. Expendables: to Low Earth Orbit (LEO) and Beyond.- Technology Experience with the H-II ELV and Its Evolution.- The Aerospace Vehicle of the Future.- The Delta Launch Services Mission Integration ProcessImproved, Cost-Effective Access to Space.- Reusable Launch Vehicles (RLVs) and Cost Engineering Principles.- Innovative Breakthroughs to a Reusable STS.- A Japanese Road Map for Future Space Transportation System.- Report on Panel Discussion 3 Reusables and Expendables in the Future Launch Market: What will be the (Right) Mix? And Where is Technology Heading?.- How will the Legal Frameworks Need to Evolve? Definitions andLegal Issues.- Launch Industry Evolution and Considerations of Future Safety Regulations.- Establishing a Space Launch Industry: The Political and Regulatory Considerations.- Internationalisation of RLV Regulations: A Realistic Future Need.- Report on Panel Discussion 4 How will the Legal Frameworks Need to Evolve?.- An Industry Perspective of the Appropriate Role of the US Government in Future Space Transportation.- What is the Appropriate Role of Governments in Future Space Transportation? A European Industrialist Point of View.- Evolving Government Roles in an Increasingly Commercial Space Transportation Market.- Government Intervention in the Commercialization of Launch Services: Japan and Europe.- International Trade in Commercial Launch Services: Adopting the World Trade Organization General Agreement on Trade in Services (WTO/GATS).- Report on Panel Discussion 5 What is the Appropriate Role of Governments in Future Space Transportation?.- Report on Panel Discussion 6 Concluding Panel Discussion: Highlights and Lessons Learned in all Sessions.- Aspire An Independent British Launch Programme.- Launching Small Spacecraft The Surrey Space Centre Experience.- Telemetry and Tracking System for the H-IIA Launch Vehicle.- The Space Launch Services Industry: Indicators and Trends.- Investment Appraisal of Next Generation Launch Vehicles using Real Option Theory.- A Review of Laser Based Propulsion.- System Analysis and Trajectory Optimization of an Ejector-Ramjet Powered Reusable Launch Vehicle.- A Launch Operations and Capacity Model of the U.S. Eastern Range.- An Academic Perspective to Revolutionize the Manned Space Transportation Market.