The Euro, Inflation and Consumers' Perceptions

This book puts forward convincing empirical evidence to establish whether the introduction of the euro had a major impact on prices and, if not, why so many people believe it has. It not only documents a historic event, it also details lessons for the future.

On 1 January 2002, euro banknotes and coins were introduced in twelve EU Member States. Three more countries joined in the following years, and over 300 million people now use the euro in their daily transactions. The currency changeover was a technical success. From the very start, however, the vast majority of euro area citizens held the single currency responsible for a sharp rise in prices and a subsequent decline in their personal economic fortunes.

This book puts forward convincing empirical evidence, primarily drawn from Italy's experience, to establish whether the introduction of the euro has had a major impact on prices, and if not, why so many people believe it has. Its significance lies not only in the documentation of a historic event, but also and more importantly, in the lessons it provides, which concern the public's understanding of inflation, the correct assessment of the effects of the single currency, and the need for appropriate measures when other countries adopt the euro.

First book that provides a comprehensive analysis on the effects of the euro cash changeover both on acutal prices and perceived inflation General discussion of the factors behind consumers' inflation perceptions Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras

Auteur

The editors are economists atthe Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy Department of the Bank of Italy.

Paolo Del Giovane is Head of the Monetary Analysis Division. His areas of interest include the European monetary unification process and the setting of monetary policy, its conduct and communication; more recently, his research has centred around price recall and the determinants of inflation perceptions.

Roberto Sabbatini is Deputy Head of the Economic Outlook Division. Lately, his research has focused on the inflationary process and its determinants, in particular its persistence in the euro area, the impact of the transition to the single currency, and the development of housing market indicators.

Contenu
Perceived and measured inflation after the launch of the euro: explaining the gap in Italy.- Rounding and anomalous changes in Italian consumer prices in 2002.- Pricing behaviour and the introduction of the euro: evidence from a panel of restaurants.- Did prices really soar after the euro cash changeover? Evidence from ATM withdrawals.- Memory for prices and the euro cash changeover: an analysis for cinema prices in Italy.- What's behind inflation perceptions? A survey-based analysis of Italian consumers.- Impact of the cash changeover on prices and inflation perceptions in the euro area: a survey of the empirical evidence.