Optimisation of Production Under Uncertainty

The book provides a short review of the classical approach to planning and decision making under uncertainty. It further explains the concept of state-contingent goods, and it extends earlier work on the state-contingent approach to describing production under uncertainty to the problems involved in optimising production under uncertainty.

The state-contingent approach is described in a normative context Good numerical examples of how the state-contingent approach works Provides very good explanation of the state-contingent approach Gives a good review of the classical approach to the theory of planning under uncertainty Extends production economic theory to uncertain environment

Contenu

Preface.- 1 Introduction.- 2 Decision Theory Elements.- 3 Utility Function.- 4 State-Contingent Outcome and Preference.- 5 Preferences and Subjective Probabilities.- 6 Formulation of the Decision Problem.- 7 Connections Between Input and State-Contingent Output.- 8 Optimising Production Under Uncertainty.- 9 Summary and Conclusion.- References