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In 1945, very early in the history of the development of a rigorous analytical theory of probability, Feller (1945) wrote a paper called The fundamental limit theorems in probability in which he set out what he considered to be the two most important limit theorems in the modern theory of probability: the central limit theorem and the recently discovered 'Kolmogoroff's cel ebrated law of the iterated logarithm' . A little later in the article he added to these, via a charming description, the little brother (of the central limit theo rem), the weak law of large numbers, and also the strong law of large num bers, which he considers as a close relative of the law of the iterated logarithm. Feller might well have added to these also the beautiful and highly applicable results of renewal theory, which at the time he himself together with eminent colleagues were vigorously producing. Feller's introductory remarks include the visionary: The history of probability shows that our problems must be treated in their greatest generality: only in this way can we hope to discover the most natural tools and to open channels for new progress. This remark leads naturally to that characteristic of our theory which makes it attractive beyond its importance for various applications: a combination of an amazing generality with algebraic precision.
Provides convient access to significant papers from a highly regarded author working at a time when many of the foundational building blocks of probability and statistics were being put in place Includes author's pick of his favorite papers Includes a complete bibliography
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This volume is dedicated to the memory of the late Professor C.C. (Chris) Heyde (1939-2008), distinguished statistician, mathematician and scientist. Chris worked at a time when many of the foundational building blocks of probability and statistics were being put in place by a phalanx of eminent scientists around the world. He contributed significantly to this effort and took his place deservedly among the top-most rank of researchers. Throughout his career, Chris maintained also a keen interest in applications of probability and statistics, and in the history of the subject. The magnitude of his impact on his chosen area of research, both in Australia and internationally, was well recognised by the abundance of honours he received within and without the profession. The book is comprised of a number of Chris's papers covering each one of four major topics to which he contributed. These papers are reproduced herein. The topics, and the papers in them, were selected by four of Chris's friends and collaborators: Ishwar Basawa, Peter Hall, Ross Maller (overall Editor of the volume) and Eugene Seneta. Each topic is provided with an overview by the selecting editor. The topics cover a range of areas to which Chris made especially important contributions: Inference in Stochastic Processes, Rates of Convergence in the Central Limit Theorem, the Law of the Iterated Logarithm, and Branching Processes and Population Genetics. The Editor and the other contributors to the volume include well known researchers in probability and statistics. The collection begins with an author's pick of a number of his papers which Chris considered most interesting and significant, chosen by him shortly before his death. A biography of Chris by his close friend and collaborator, Joe Gani, is also included. An introduction by the Editor and a comprehensive bibliography of Chris's publications complete the volume. The book will be of especial interest to researchers in probabilityand statistics, and in the history of these subjects.
Contenu
Author's Pick.- Chris Heyde's Contribution to Inference in Stochastic Processes.- Chris Heyde's Work on Rates of Convergence in the Central Limit Theorem.- Chris Heyde's Work in Probability Theory, with an Emphasis on the LIL.- Chris Heyde on Branching Processes and Population Genetics.- On a Property of the Lognormal Distribution.- Two Probability Theorems and Their Application to Some First Passage Problems.- Some Renewal Theorems with Application to a First Passage Problem.- Some Results on Small-Deviation Probability Convergence Rates for Sums of Independent Random Variables.- A Contribution to the Theory of Large Deviations for Sums of Independent Random Variables.- On Large Deviation Problems for Sums of Random Variables which are not Attracted to the Normal Law.- On the Influence of Moments on the Rate of Convergence to the Normal Distribution.- On Large Deviation Probabilities in the Case of Attraction to a Non-Normal Stable Law.- On the Converse to the Iterated Logarithm Law.- A Note Concerning Behaviour of Iterated Logarithm Type.- On Extended Rate of Convergence Results for the Invariance Principle.- On the Maximum of Sums of Random Variables and the Supremum Functional for Stable Processes.- Some Properties of Metrics in a Study on Convergence to Normality.- Extension of a Result of Seneta for the Super-Critical GaltonWatson Process.- On the Implication of a Certain Rate of Convergence to Normality.- A Rate of Convergence Result for the Super-Critical Galton-Watson Process.- On the Departure from Normality of a Certain Class of Martingales.- Some Almost Sure Convergence Theorems for Branching Processes.- Some Central Limit Analogues for Supercritical Galton-Watson Processes.- An Invariance Principle and Some Convergence Rate Results for BranchingProcesses.- Improved classical limit analogues for Galton-Watson processes with or without immigration.- Analogues of Classical Limit Theorems for the Supercritical Galton-Watson Process with Immigration.- On Limit Theorems for Quadratic Functions of Discrete Time Series.- Martingales: A Case for a Place in the Statistician's Repertoire.- On the Influence of Moments on Approximations by Portion of a Chebyshev Series in Central Limit Convergence.- Estimation Theory for Growth and Immigration Rates in a Multiplicative Process.- An Iterated Logarithm Result for Martingales and its Application in Estimation Theory for Autoregressive Processes.- On the Uniform Metric in the Context of Convergence to Normality.- Invariance Principles for the Law of the Iterated Logarithm for Martingales and Processes with Stationary Increments.- An Iterated Logarithm Result for Autocorrelations of a Stationary Linear Process.- On Estimating the Variance of the Offspring Distribution in a Simple Branching Process.- A Nonuniform Bound on Convergence to Normality.- Remarks on efficiency in estimation for branching processes.- The Genetic Balance between Random Sampling and Random Population Size.- On a unified approach to the law of the iterated logarithm for martingales.- The Effect of Selection on Genetic Balance when the Population Size is Varying.- On Central Limit and Iterated Logarithm Supplements to the Martingale Convergence Theorem.- A Log Log Improvement to the Riemann Hypothesis for the Hawkins Random Sieve.- On an Optimal Asymptotic Property of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of a Parameter from a Stochastic Process.- On Asymptotic Posterior Normality for Stochastic Processes.- On the Survival of a Gene Represented in a Founder Population.- An alternative approach to asymptoticresults on genetic composition when the population size is varying.- On the Asymptotic Equivalence of Lp Metrics for Convergence to Normality.- Quasi-likelihood and Optimal Estimation.- Fisher Lecture.- On Best Asymptotic Confidence Intervals for Parameters of Stochastic Processes.- A quasi-likelihood approach to estimating parameters in diffusion-type processes.- Asymptotic Optimality.- On Defining Long-Range Dependence.- A Risky Asset Model with Strong Dependence through Fractal Activity Time.- Statistical estimation of nonstationary Gaussian processes with long-range dependence and intermittency.