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This book explores the global technological transformations that have shaped development of society for eons, from the emergence of Homo sapiens to the modern day. Looking at a potential future for all of this century and the beginning of the next, the book explores how society is changing as a result of the two most powerful trends: technological advances and global aging. It studies the forthcoming technological wave the Cybernetic Revolution, which will encompass AI, medical technology and biotechnology, robotics, cognitive, nanotechnology etc. In turn, it shows why and how global aging will become one of the most powerful factors, influencing the evolution of society and the World System as a whole. Lastly, the book demonstrates how technological innovations can change the way people live and the society of the future, assessing both the new opportunities and threats posed by uncontrolled technological progress. Accordingly, it will appeal to social scientists, political scientists, economists and historians who are interested in technological transformations and their social and economic impacts.
Explains how our world will change over the next hundred years Describes the history of technology and predicts the forthcoming technological wave Analyzes global aging and forecasts its huge influence on society and our style of life
Auteur
Leonid E. Grinin is a Russian political anthropologist, sociologist, philosopher of history, economist, and a scholar of historical and technological trends and future studies. He is a senior research professor at the Center for Stability and Risk Analysis at HSE University, Moscow, Russia. He is an editor-in-chief of the journal Age of Globalization (in Russian), co-editor of the international journals Social Evolution & History and the Journal of Globalization Studies, as well as co-editor of the yearbooks Evolution, History and Mathematics and Kondratieff Waves. He is the author of more than 600 scholarly publications, including 30 monographs in Russian, English, Chinese, Spanish and German.
Andrey V. Korotayev heads the Center for Stability and Risk Analysis at HSE University, Moscow, Russia. He is also a senior research professor at the Eurasian Center for Big History and System Forecasting at the Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, as well as a full professor at Moscow State University's Faculty of Global Studies. He is a co-editor of the journal Social Evolution & History and the Journal of Globalization Studies, as well as a member of the editorial boards of Cliodynamics and Age of Globalization. He is the author of over 400 scholarly publications, including 27 monographs.
Anton L. Grinin is a Russian scholar of modern technological trends and future studies, as well as an evolutionist and philosopher. He holds a Ph.D. in Biology and works as a senior research fellow for the Faculty of Global Studies of the Lomonosov Moscow State University as well the International Center for Education and Social and Humanitarian Studies, Moscow, Russia. He is the author of more than 100 publications in Russian and English, including2 monographs.
Contenu
Chapter 1. Introduction. Between Human and Post-Human Revolutions, or What Future is Awaiting Us?.- Part I. Technological Transformations in the Past, Present and Future.- Chapter 2. Global Technological Transformations since the Stone Age: Theory and History.- Chapter 3. Cybernetic Revolution, its Characteristics, and Self-Managing Systems.- Chapter 4. Cybernetic Revolution and MANBRIC-Technologies. When, How and Where will the Forthcoming Breakthrough Start?.- Part II. Demographic Transformations and Global Aging.- Chapter 5. Demographic Transformations in the Historical Process.- Chapter 6. Global Aging and Other Demographic Trends within Cybernetic Production Principle.- Chapter 7. Global Aging, Adaption to It, and Future Demographic Transformations.- Part III. MANBRIC-technologies in the Forthcoming Epoch of Self-Regulating Systems (2030s2090s).- Chapter 8. Medicine and Cybernetic Revolution: on the Way to Control Over the Human Body.- Chapter 9. Biotechnologies in Perspective: Major Breakthroughs, Development of Self-Regulating Systems and Possible Social Confrontations.- Chapter 10. Nanotechnologies, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, and Other MANBRIC technologies in the Long Term Development.- Chapter 11. Anti-Aging as a Key Challenge for the Medicine of the Future.- Part IV. Trends of Cybernetic Revolution in the Light of Technological Progress and Aging.- Chapter 12. Long-term dynamics of the technological growth. Would it Lead Us to Singularity?.- Chapter 13. Will Global Aging Change the Pace of Technological Progress and Create a New Consumption Model?.- Chapter 14. The Cybernetic Revolution, Covid-19 and the E-state.- Chapter 15. Conclusion. Towards Cybernetic Society.